As with national property prices versus regional ones, rental trends do vary for each area and even down to postcode level, but no-where near as much as property prices. So you might have 10 different price points for a two bed flat in the area, but around three to four rental averages.
For example, Terry Lucking who runs Belvoir Cambridge and Peterborough knows in Cambridge, property prices vary for a two bed property from around £175,000 which would attract £950 rent per month. In contrast, property prices for two beds could go as high as £1 million, which would rent for around £2,500. So prices vary by four times, while rents vary by just over 2.5 times.
That’s why, in traditionally ‘expensive’ areas, renting can be quite good value for money versus buying.
In the regional indices chart, we include average monthly rents from LSL, Homelet and Belvoir for December 13 vs December 12, compared to the Move with Us average monthly rent for Q4 2013 vs Q4 12 and the Valuation Office Agency’s figures for 1st October 2012 - 30th September 2013.
It’s unlikely that any indices can be directly compared, but what we can do is check whether they are all giving the same trending information – ie going up or down, so we can get a feel for what’s actually happening in the market from a variety of sources.
In summary, the December 2013 versus December 2012 and Q4 2013 vs Q4 2012 rental reports by region do vary, but not by much – around 5% at most. Mostly, if one index shows a fall, so do the others, although there are few exceptions which we have highlighted below.
The breakdown for Scotland and Wales regions show:-
Talking to local agents in Wales, the Homelet rise looks like an anomaly, so the real picture is rents are static or at most, seeing some small rises.
The Scottish data from the Belvoir figures suggests a small rise year on year, however, this is an anomaly in the figures due to a change in the mix of advertised properties, the real picture from Scotland shared by most agents ‘on the ground’ is one of static rents through to some areas showing small falls. This trend is reflected well in the Homelet data which shows a small decrease of -1.6% year on year, while the Move with Us index indicating a slight upward movement year on year of 2.2%.
Overall, rents in Scotland, bar regions such as Aberdeen, Edinburgh and Glasgow, are static to falling.
The breakdown for regions in England shows:-
North West rental reports are recording static to falling values towards the end of 2013.
Yorkshire and Humber average rents saw fairly stable rents, on average, at the end of 2013.
East Midlands’ rents remain similar to 2012 at the end of 2013.
South West rents are static to rising in line with inflation up to 3%.
Rental trends suggest a range from -4.4% to +5.1% suggesting quite a variation which seems to be due to location – Cambridge for example is doing well, so more properties in the index from this area will boost the rental rises.
Rents in the South East are static to rising in line with inflation of around 3%.
Greater London does seem to have some good rental average rises over previous years, but in 2013 rent rises have slowed, and in some areas, falls up to 4% are being recorded.
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